Fastenal Valuation

FAST Stock  USD 43.36  0.04  0.09%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Fastenal shows a prevailing Real Value of $43.55 per share. The current price of the firm is $43.36. Our model computes the value of Fastenal from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 1.15 B, profit margin of 0.15 %, and Current Valuation of 49.9 B as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Fastenal's valuation include:
Price Book
12.6113
Enterprise Value
49.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
27.1131
Price Sales
6.0647
Forward PE
36.1011
Fairly Valued
Today
43.36
Please note that Fastenal's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Fastenal is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Fastenal's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Fastenal's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 43.36, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  43.36 Real  43.55 Target  44.53 Hype  43.43 Naive  43.44
The intrinsic value of Fastenal's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Fastenal's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
43.55
Real Value
44.91
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Fastenal Company helps investors to forecast how Fastenal stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Fastenal more accurately as focusing exclusively on Fastenal's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.280.290.30
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.0743.4344.79
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.991.021.05
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
40.5244.5349.43
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Fastenal's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Fastenal's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Fastenal's closest peers.

Fastenal Cash

290.64 Million

Fastenal Total Value Analysis

Fastenal Company is currently projected to have valuation of 49.9 B with market capitalization of 49.73 B, debt of 441.9 M, and cash on hands of 231.5 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Fastenal fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
49.9 B
49.73 B
441.9 M
231.5 M

Fastenal Investor Information

About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of January 2026. Fastenal had 2:1 split on the 22nd of May 2025. Fastenal Company may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.140.2019
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.4 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income1.7 B1.7 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Fastenal Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Fastenal has an asset utilization ratio of 162.29 percent. This implies that the Company is making $1.62 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Fastenal Company is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Fastenal Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Fastenal's profitability measurements, Fastenal Company may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Fastenal's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1987-03-31
Previous Quarter
335.5 M
Current Value
294.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
95.4 M
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Fastenal's Gross Profit is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Gross Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.56 in 2026, whereas Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.15 in 2026.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.560.4501
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.0960.1535
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.140.2019
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.150.2018
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.160.249
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.20.3191
Way Down
Slightly volatile
For Fastenal profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Fastenal to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Fastenal utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Fastenal's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Fastenal over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Fastenal Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of Fastenal is estimated to be 0.2947 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.28 to a high of 0.3. Fastenal's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.09. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Fastenal Company is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Fastenal is projected to generate 0.2947 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. Fastenal earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Fastenal EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Fastenal's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Fastenal, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Fastenal Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Fastenal's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Fastenal is estimated to be 0.2947 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.28 to a high of 0.3. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Fastenal Company is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.26
0.28
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.2947
0.30
Highest

Fastenal Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Fastenal's value are higher than the current market price of the Fastenal stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Fastenal is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Fastenal's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1997.67%
0.26
0.2947
1.09

Fastenal Ownership Allocation

Fastenal holds a total of 1.15 Billion outstanding shares. The majority of Fastenal Company outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Fastenal to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Fastenal. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Fastenal Company as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On October 5, 2025, Representative Sheri Biggs of US Congress acquired $15k to $50k worth of Fastenal's common stock.

Fastenal Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.2 B. Net Income was 1.26 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.69 B.

Fastenal Past Distributions to stockholders

About Fastenal Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Fastenal's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Fastenal based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Fastenal. We calculate exposure to Fastenal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Fastenal's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit3.7 B3.9 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.20  0.15 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.14 
Net Profit Margin 0.15  0.10 
Gross Profit Margin 0.45  0.56 

Fastenal Quarterly Retained Earnings

3.87 Billion

Fastenal's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Fastenal's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Fastenal can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Fastenal represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Fastenal, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Fastenal Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, Fastenal's Dividend Yield is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to gain to 0.84 in 2026, despite the fact that Dividends Paid is likely to grow to (954 M). . At this time, Fastenal's Retained Earnings are comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 3.84 in 2026, whereas Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop slightly above 2.1 B in 2026.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-1 B-954 M
Dividend Yield 0.02  0.02 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.80  0.84 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.04  1.24 
There are various types of dividends Fastenal can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Fastenal shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Fastenal Company directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Fastenal pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Fastenal by the value of the dividends paid out.

Fastenal Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Fastenal does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.138
Forward Price Earnings36.1011

Fastenal Current Valuation Indicators

Fastenal's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Fastenal's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Fastenal, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Fastenal's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Fastenal's worth.

Additional Tools for Fastenal Stock Analysis

When running Fastenal's price analysis, check to measure Fastenal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastenal is operating at the current time. Most of Fastenal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastenal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastenal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastenal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.